Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 6.234887 6.867733 7.589449 8.486181 9.589536 10.930182 12.728942
2024-12-29 5.466900 6.281530 7.288629 8.668845 10.591350 13.323898 17.858059
2025-01-05 4.870658 5.772499 6.957823 8.717596 11.456504 16.019077 25.825454
2025-01-12 4.293061 5.191684 6.422105 8.354941 11.628382 17.871126 35.456745
2025-01-19 3.819121 4.684643 5.905009 7.904441 11.524283 19.289056 48.581652
2025-01-26 3.671933 4.607651 5.991630 8.427873 13.412060 27.100172 165.995162
2025-02-02 3.659801 4.719934 6.383645 9.603838 17.500793 52.591707 NaN
2025-02-09 3.537103 4.648125 6.465963 10.244366 21.059115 111.057802 NaN
2025-02-16 3.394342 4.526185 6.440476 10.663496 24.633153 395.952161 NaN
2025-02-23 3.240379 4.368307 6.324557 10.848247 27.838500 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 3.018330 4.078020 5.925434 10.239881 26.909277 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 2.920162 3.985998 5.889222 10.547547 31.321019 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 2.704810 3.697079 5.474642 9.853432 29.793192 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 2.592169 3.576205 5.378390 10.022173 34.762740 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.476502 3.440871 5.237290 10.034433 39.425734 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.331710 3.244225 4.949798 9.537312 38.505777 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.192929 3.050080 4.650835 8.948733 35.884364 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.160204 3.041044 4.735146 9.586816 50.860862 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.175031 3.118390 5.017200 11.066805 121.117605 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.141710 3.103731 5.093645 11.882096 333.536871 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.095136 3.059972 5.096181 12.418721 4794.631104 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.038915 2.993382 5.035155 12.653014 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.947023 2.852334 4.778122 11.853545 NaN NaN NaN